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Planning assumptions

2027 capital-market assumptions

Illustrative seven-year return ranges, risk assumptions and the governance rules used to apply them.

Seven-year planning ranges

These ranges are governance inputs, not point forecasts. Committees should test contributions under multiple combinations before approving a strategic allocation.

AssetNominal returnVolatilityRole
Global equity6.0-8.0%15-19%Growth
Investment-grade bonds4.0-5.5%5-8%Income
Infrastructure6.0-8.5%10-14%Inflation defense
Private credit6.5-8.0%7-11%Contractual income

Approval rule

A change requires an updated evidence memo, risk contribution check and named review date.

Model limitation

Ranges do not include tax, transaction costs, manager dispersion or client-specific currency hedging.

Public facts are linked to primary sources. Portfolio weights and return assumptions are illustrative.